Day 2 :
Keynote Forum
Trofimov Alexander
International Scientific Research Institute of Cosmoplanetary Anthropoecology, Russia
Keynote: New scientific technology of the forecasting of natural hazards into modeled Kozyrev’s space
Time : 9:30-10:15
Biography:
Alexander Trofimov has completed his MD (Doctor of Medicine) in 1998 from Siberian Branch of Russian Academy of Medical Sciences. During many years he was (until 2010) Chief of laboratory of Helioclimatopathology of Scientific Center of Clinical and Experimental Medicine. From 1994 and till now he is the Director of International Scientific Research Institute of Cosmic Anthropoecology. He has 7 patents, published 6 monographs and more than 65 papers in reputed journals.
Abstract:
In accordance with the hypothesis of Russian astrophysicist N A Kozyrev, time creates the connection between all the nature phenomena and actively participating in them, is able to reduce the entropy of processes and their results which are often manifesting by explosive strengthening of chaos in the form of various natural disasters. The degree of time activity, called its density, can be experimentally increased (in relation to energy-time flows, emitted by the brain of a person or a research group) with the use of special aluminum screens, conventionally called by Novosibirsk scientists; Kozyrev’s mirrors. The ability to reflect and focus time action by a concave mirror allows the trained researchers to observe and describe (under the electroencephalographic control of the functional activity of the brain) under the conditions of a modeled compaction of their energy-time, using the method of mirror-quantum superposition of consciousness developed in our institute, natural processes under conditions of relative weakening and theoretically permissible inversion of causes and their consequences, including different tectonic, volcanic and climatic disasters, including hurricanes up to their actual manifestation. The possibility of predicting monitoring of the future is opening! Perspectives of predicting natural disasters from Kozyrev’s mirrors have been discussed at the first time at international scientific forums SSE (Boulder, 2011) and the 3rd Earth Science and Climate Change Conference (San Francisco, 2014). In further a database was formatted allowing successfully realize scientific demonstration of the new technology online at the conference APP (Las Vegas, 2017), devoted to the problems remote viewing. In Kozyrev’s mirrors, Novosibirsk physicians-researchers T Kuznetsova and O Oseeva have compiled a short and long-term forecast of seismic activity in the san-andreas geological fault in California. The effectiveness of the forecast with a lead time of 1-week was 90% the earthquakes were recorded with exactly predicted force by Richter scale, in days and places, indicated in the protocols. The same prognostic distance information bridge is supposed to be established between Kozyrev’s mirrors and Australia on July 26-27, 2018, during the Melbourne conference. In perspectives of further development of this international project the possibilities of not only helio-geoecological monitoring and long-term forecast, but also the creation of a mirror-preventive, in relation to natural hazards, technology that enhances negentropic tendencies and weakens their destructive effects, may be investigated.
- Geosciences | Environmental Pollution | Floodway Analysis | Geographic Information & Remote sensing | Ecosystems and Biodiversity | Health Disasters & Epidemics | Space Disasters
Location: Lake 3/4 , “Mercure Albert Park ; Address: 65 Queens Road, Melbourne 3004 – Australiaâ€
Chair
Trofimov Alexander
International Scientific Research Institute of Cosmoplanetary Anthropoecology, Russia
Co-Chair
Geoffrey Mukwada
University of the Free State, South Africa
Session Introduction
Jaime Senabre
University of Alicante, Spain
Title: Social perception of natural hazards in the province of Alicante (Spain): A comparative analysis
Biography:
Psychologist and Environmental Consultant. He completed doctoral studies in the Department of Personality, Evaluation and Psychological Treatment of the UNED. Chief of Brigade in a Forest Fire Service with more than 20 years of experience. He collaborates with several companies and institutions in the area of training in Psychology in Emergencies and Human Resources. He is Professor at the University of Valencia in the Master in "Intervention and operational coordination in emergencies and catastrophes" and other postgraduate courses on emergencies. Director and President of the International Scientific-Professional Committee of the National Symposium on Forest Fires (SINIF). He has lectured internationally and has been part of the Organizing Committee of several International Congresses on Earth Sciences and Climate Change. He has published articles on forest fires, stress, psychosocial risks and emotional trauma, mainly in relation to emergency services and natural disasters. Currently, he is assigned to the Research Group on "Climate and Territorial Planning" (University of Alicante), where he researches on the social perception of forest fire risk and behavior in the event of possible disasters.
Abstract:
Natural risks are natural processes that can have their function in nature, but when they manifest they have a direct impact on societies and on the environment. Historically, the human being has been subjected to the threat of natural phenomena, such as floods, earthquakes, volcanoes, forest fires, etc. The exposure to risk is always associated with the territory or geographical area inhabited. The risks, far from being reduced, increase in a world of increasing population and colonization of the territory. From environmental psychology, natural hazards are interpreted as stressful experiences that the individual or community must face, looking for the most appropriate strategies for each situation. We propose a comparative analysis between two different samples of the population of the province of Alicante (Spain). The data has been obtained by adapting the same measurement instrument and following a similar procedure, but taken in two different time periods, 2012 (Ramos R, Olcina J Y, Molina S 2014) Y 2017 (Senabre J). The results indicated that the threat perception of natural hazards has increased and that society perceives in a more pessimistic way the evolution of the impact of natural phenomena. The main perceived threats (forest fires, drought, desertification, extreme temperatures and floods) are maintained in both studies, although there have been significant changes in the level of importance that society gives each one of them. The risk of drought is the only threat that doesn’t offer qualitative changes in perception, occupying the second place in both cases, although there are differences at a quantitative level. Likewise, the data indicate that, in recent years, the society has received more information about of this type of risk. The studies on risk perception are a good tool for improving risk management and for the development of environmental policies appropriate to each specific territory.
K W A M Kokila
University of Tsukuba, Japan
Title: Realizing the national disaster management policy of Sri Lanka through public private partnerships (PPPs)
Time : 14:45-15:15
Biography:
K W A M Kokila is pursuing her Master in Environment Science at University of Tsukuba, Japan. She had completed her undergraduates in Uva Wellassa University, Badulla, Sri Lanka. She had started her career as an Assistant Secretary, Ministry of Disaster Management, Sri Lanka. During her career in the Ministry, she had involved in administrative and technical aspects of disaster management. Further, she has represented Sri Lanka in some of the international and national conferences and workshops related to disaster management.
Abstract:
Sri Lanka’s disaster management policy aims to protect lives and developments in disaster affected areas by effectively using resources for disaster risk reduction, emergency management and community awareness. However, funding for these action programs has become a serious challenge to the country’s economy. This paper examines the extent to which private public partnership (PPP) can facilitate and expedite disaster management works. In particular, it discusses the results of the questionnaire survey among policymakers, government administrators, NGOs and private businesses. This questionnaire was conducted in 2017. All respondents were selected based on their experience in PPP projects in the past. The survey focused on clarifying the effectiveness of past PPP projects as well as their efficiency and transparency. The respondents also provided their own opinions and suggestions to improve the future PPP projects in Sri Lanka. The questionnaire was distributed to 15 persons. The results showed that almost all respondents think that PPP projects are beneficial and important for future disaster risk management in Sri Lanka. The respondents, however, showed some reservation about effectiveness and transparency of the PPP process. This paper also discusses the results on the respondents’ perceptions about their capacity regarding human resources and management. This paper, overall, sheds light on technological, financial and human resource management practices in developed countries as well as policy and legislation provisions regarding PPP projects. The good practices categorize under the basic four stages of disaster management cycle and through this paper it discusses how those practices can implement in Sri Lanka.
Gulsan Ara Parvin
Kyoto University, Japan
Title: Cyclone warning and people’s expectation: A case study of cyclone Aila affected area, Bangladesh
Time : 12:15-12:45
Biography:
Gulsan Ara Parvin has her expertise in Disaster Risk Reduction and Community Resilience. She is basically an Urban and Rural Planner. She has 20 years of Teaching and Research experience. She has published about 50 research papers in different national and international journals and books. She has research and working experiences in Bangladesh, Japan, Malaysia, Thailand and USA. She had also worked as a Visiting Scholar at Department of Urban Studies and Planning of Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), USA.
Abstract:
Bangladesh is one of the most disaster-prone countries in the world. Especially, climate related disasters like flood and cyclone are most common in Bangladesh. About 6-10% of the world’s tropical cyclones generate at the Bay of Bengal. Because of its geographical feature, frequent cyclones and cyclone induced storm surge is one of the critical issues of development concern of Bangladesh. Historical records show that Bangladesh experiences severe cyclone every four and one-half years and it cost huge loss of lives and damages. It is about 2 decades it was calculated that approximately 75% of global deaths due to cyclone take place in Bangladesh. Though the number of death has been reduced, in the last decade, Cyclone Sidr caused deaths of about 3,460 people and by latest severe cyclone Aila approximately 190 people were died across 11 districts and 4.8 million people were affected. Due to introduce cyclone preparedness program (CPP), multipurpose cyclone shelter program and such other disaster management initiatives of government and non-government organizations, number of death in cyclone has been reduced significantly. Nonetheless, cyclone warning system is not yet so much familiar to the local rural community. According to the local people’s perception due to lack of different expected information, during cyclone, people become panic and fail to take right and timely decision that can save their lives and assets. Cyclone warning system needs to incorporate such information and guidance to minimize loss and damage. With an empirical study in the cyclone Aila affected area of Bangladesh, this paper aims to examine the limitations of warning system during cyclone Aila. At the same time, it intends to explore people’s expectation related to cyclone warning system. It is expected that this research outcomes would facilitate to have an improved need-oriented cyclone warning system for coastal community of Bangladesh.
Kuznetsova Taisia
Scientific Council of International Scientific Research Institute of Cosmic Anthropoecology, Russia
Title: On the possibility of earthquake predictions while observing binary planetary earth-moon system in a modeled Kozyrev’s space
Biography:
Kuznetsova Taisia has obtained his PhD in Cardiologist from Novosibirsk State Medical University diploma and completed a PhD thesis on chronic neurogenic hyperventilation. He is the resident cardiologist in various clinics in Novosibirsk, Russia. He is the Chief of Rehabilitation Department in Meshalkin’s Novosibirsk State Biomedical Research. Currently he is the Director of the Apsara wellness centre. He was a contributor to International Scientific Research Institute of Cosmic Anthropoecology (ISRICA). He has participated in ISRICA’s various research projects: Pakal Votan, Solar Eclipse, Holographic Eclipse, OARION, etc. He has published several research papers.
Abstract:
According to a Russian astrophysicist N Kozyrev’s hypothesis, time is a link between all-natural phenomena and it plays and active part in all of them. By comparing the data on the number of earthquakes and lunar events from B Middlehurst’s catalogue (B Middlehurst,1967) N kozyrev determined that there was a connection between Earth’s tectonic processes and various lunar events evident from the material properties of time. N Kozyrev demonstrated that astronomical events observed on the moon take place sometime before earthquakes on our planet. At the same time when the significant periodical weakening of the Earth and the Moon crusts happens it allows the gravitational pull of the Moon to affect the Earth’s tectonics, this process repeats every 14 days. Kozyrev’s research opened up new ways to detect earthquakes 2 weeks prior to them happening on Earth. The development and testing of the new seismical prognosis method became the focus of this research. By using the quantum mirror superposition of consciousness method, it became possible to detect and describe natural phenomena during the relative weakening of the cause and effect relations, the tectonic catastrophes being the prime example. The accuracy of that prediction made 2 weeks prior turned out to be 90%, with the recorded intensity of the earthquakes (measured according to the Richter’s scale) as well as time and place of them occurring all matching the prognosis protocol data almost perfectly
Oseeva Olga
Scientific council of International Scientific Research Institute of Cosmic Anthropoecology, Russia
Title: About the possibility of priority registration of natural disasters in the low frequency range of the channel ionosphere-earth-man in the modeled space Kozyrev
Biography:
Olga Oseeva is a Physician, Cardiologist. She has graduated from medical school. She worked in various programs of International Scientific Research Institute of Cosmic Anthropoecolog. She has mastered and successfully applied the method of registration cardiospectra on the device Veda Pulse (company Biokvant, Russia) in scientific research as part of ISRICA. She had participated in the conference: Earth Science and Climate Change, Hong Kong, 2017. Currently, she is working as a Doctor in Academician E N Meshalkin Novosibirsk State Research Institute of Circulation Pathology. Her research interests include heliobiology, cosmic anthropoecology, helioclimatopathology, preventive medicine and cardiology.
Abstract:
During the time of the conducted researches in modeled the Kozyrev space (ISRICA) using the method of gas discharge visualization (computer kirlianography by K Korotkov) been identified the effect of resonant enhancement of the spectral density of the luminescence of the human body in the frequency range, related to Schumann resonance in the group of volunteers (n=38), was 48 hours before the solar flares. Thus, the biofield structures of people in the Kozyrev space in advance responded to solar and atmospheric storms. According to a hypothesis of astrophysics N Kozyrev, time makes the connection between all the phenomena of nature, actively participates in them that are allowed advanced event registration not yet implemented in the present. To develop and test of the method of advancing the registration of seismo-volcanic disasters in the associated micro-pulsations harbingers in the low frequency range of electromagnetic oscillations of the ionosphere and man, was applied cardiospectral analysis Veda Pulse (company Biokvant, Russia). This device is designed for recording low-frequency components in the dynamics of cardiac activity of the operator, located in the Kozyrev mirrors to perform a predictive task. In 11 Aug 1917, during the influence microtectonics electromagnetic radiation one of the natural objects (mountain Rtanj in Serbia) we have register forced synchronization mode hearts of two remotely separated (4,500 km) of volunteer’s researchers, had been staying in the Kozyrev space by two the same device Veda Pulse. Received fact created the scientific basis for further recording cardiospectra of person in the Kozyrev mirrors in the days, had been predicted for natural disasters in 2018. Virtual predictive monitoring by cardiospectral analysis in the Kozyrev mirrors will be continued during remote information bridge between Novosibirsk and Melbourne 26-27 July 2018.
Ahmad Gaber Shidied Ibrahim
Fayoum University, Egypt
Title: Land use change detection and urban extension at Abu-Rawash Environs, West Cairo, Egypt
Time : 12:05-12:35
Biography:
Ahmed Gaber Shedid Ibrahim is a Professor of Hydrogeology, Geology Department, Faculty of Science, Fayoum University, Egypt.
Abstract:
Abu-Rawash environs covers about 80 km2 of the northern part of the Western Desert, at 10 km southwest of Greater Cairo, Egypt. It represents the exclusive exposure of Cretaceous rocks and structures in the north Western Desert. It displays excellent model of the stratigraphic and structural architecture of the north Western Desert subsurface hydrocarbon provinces. Urban development through the last five decades led to partial and complete obliteration of several locations at Abu-Rawash area. Temporal Google images of different sources and historical aerial photographs were used to detect and evaluate the land use changes due to successive urban development, declaring of geologically protectorate sites. The present study describes image processing techniques of remotely sensing data in change detection by anthropologic activities of Abu-Rawash Environs as development of new urban sites, roads and quarries.